Covid-19 is a little bit like diabetes right now as there is no vaccine or cure for either but both can be reversed and kept under control through discipline and diligence. Diabetic control can always be reversed (improved) through better control of diet, insulin or other medications and exercise while Covid-19 requires physical distancing, frequent hand washing and improved general disinfecting of surfaces. Have we reached the point where we have started reversing Covid-19 in the US? Maybe!! Yesterday was the first day since March 4th that the daily number of USA new cases dropped from their peak on March 20 of 5594 to 4824 on March 21. One day of course does not a trend make but at least is the first glimmer of hope in the past 2 ½ weeks.
I believe that the daily cases have largely grown so exponentially in the past couple of weeks due to additional testing which is mostly a reflection of the population that has unknowingly had cases, but were not recorded because without testing there was no way of knowing for sure. My reasoning is that about 1 week ago, the percentage of deaths in the US due to the virus was at about 2% of total virus cases and today that has dropped to 1.3% and as we do more testing, I expect the number of cases to keep growing while the mortality rate keeps dropping.
Much more important is that for 2 consecutive days, the daily number of US Covid deaths has dropped from its peak of 57 deaths on March 19th to 49 deaths on March 20th to 46 deaths on March 21. Again, 2 days does not a trend make but may indicate much better times may be in the very near future.
Reversal of Covid-19, of course is similar to reversal of diabetes. As we show daily improvement, we must remain vigilant and keep doing everything we did to start the reversal process in a sufficient manner to continue the trend. Otherwise, like diabetes we can easily get on the roller coaster trends we are all too familiar with.
Stay Safe and if this reversal trend does not continue tomorrow, it will be back and we shall overcome sooner rather than later.