Metformin lowers long-term diabetes risk

[Nathan DM, et al. Diabetes Care . 2019;doi:10.2337/dc18-1970.](http://care.diabetesjournals.org/content/early/2019/02/14/dc18-1970)

Metformin was shown to have long-term protective effects against diabetes development in adults at greatest risk, especially those with higher HbA1c levels and women who have had gestational diabetes, according to findings published in Diabetes Care .

“Whether metformin should be used for diabetes prevention requires a careful balance of benefits and risks,” Marinella Temprosa, PhD , assistant research professor in the department of epidemiology and biostatistics at George Washington University, and colleagues wrote.

These findings were elucidated from a long-term follow-up of the Diabetes Prevention Program (DPP) and the Diabetes Prevention Program Outcomes Study (DPPOS). In the first study, researchers recruited 3,234 adults with impaired glucose tolerance, elevated blood glucose and a BMI of at least 24 kg/m2, who were all categorized as at risk for diabetes, between 1996 and 1999.

Participants were randomly assigned to placebo, a lifestyle intervention or 850 mg metformin twice daily. In 2001, 1,861 participants continued in the DPPOS and were assigned 850 mg metformin twice a day regardless of their initial study group.

In a 15-year follow-up analysis, Temprosa and colleagues evaluated data from the placebo (n = 1,082; mean age, 50.3 years; 69% women) and metformin (n = 1,073; mean age, 50.9 years, 66.2% women) groups. Although oral glucose tolerance tests and fasting plasma glucose were used to diagnose diabetes in the two previous studies, the researchers included diagnosis by HbA1c in post hoc analysis.

At 15 years, the metformin group had lower diabetes incidence rates by 17% compared with placebo (HR = 0.83; 95% CI, 0.73-0.93), based on OGTT and FPG diagnosis, and 36% by HbA1c diagnosis (HR = 0.64; 95% CI, 0.55-0.75).

When OGTT and FPG were used as diagnostic tools, the researchers wrote that participants with higher FPG levels at baseline experienced an even greater effect from metformin ( P = .0004). They also noted that metformin lowered diabetes incidence by 41% in women who previously had gestational diabetes (HR = 0.59; 95% CI, 0.42-0.84). In contrast, with HbA1c as the diagnostic marker, there were “comparable beneficial effects … across all of the subgroups,” the researchers wrote.

“Regardless of the means by which diabetes is diagnosed, the long-term effects of metformin on diabetes development in DPP/DPPOS suggest that metformin remains effective in this cohort,” the researchers wrote. “These results should help to prioritize those groups at high risk of developing diabetes who will benefit most from being treated with metformin. The conclusions regarding HbA1c must be considered carefully, as our original eligibility and diabetes development criteria were based on glucose and not HbA1c criteria.” – by Phil Neuffer

If I am understanding this correctly metformin had no effect on 83% of the people in the study. Of course they could be undergoing the typical gastrointestinal issues associated with metformin.

Its pretty clear based on this study why the ADA’s Step program which has metformin as Step 1 plans for its failure.

Dr Ralph DeFronzo use to be one of the biggest metformin proponents in the U.S. and was a key player in getting FDA approval. 25 years later he has seen the results. At ADA2017 he said his view has changed and “The most waste in type 2 diabetes is to continuously put people on metformin and sulfonylureas (glyburide, glimepiride, etc.). These drugs have no protective effect on the beta cell, and by the time you figure out what you’re doing, there are no beta cells left to save.”

With the growing use of CGMS within the T2 community it will become even more obvious that metformin does nothing to stop the post meal glucose spike and the PWD stays with elevated sugar levels way to long. What we do know is elevated sugars above 140mg/dl for even 2hours starts causing vascular degeneration.