Yes
That’s a good idea Jen. I will start doing that more.
Here’s the first session. I’ll post the 2nd when it comes out. You gotta scroll down below the photo and hit the play button.
2nd episode:
…if you just cant get enough flu.
mohe’s brother to mohe:
Do you really have a cold?
Or, do you have “a cold?”
hehehehehehe
anti-malarial drug and another one supposedly getting fast tracked.
The data does not display correctly in firefox, but is correct in opera and chrome
So a high school kid makes a site that make all the others that have massive budgets look like a joke.
Extremely well done it is.
Not sure about the “serious” column listings. How can 49 states and several countries have zero?
While I applaud the effort I think it risks giving some people (maybe the spring break crowd?) the wrong impression unless he deletes that column or corrects the data.
He is pulling the data from other sites - not doing it himself
Also, he is missing a few columns. The BNO data includes a critical column that is not included in the page. Not a criticism, but partial explanation…
I will stick with
Simple to use and can easily drill down and scroll down to individual country and areas and get lots of salient data.
Which jurisdiction are you talking about? The US has nearly 20,000 COVID-19 cases plus about 265 deaths. Italy has had nearly 630 deaths. Stay safe, wash your hands and pass on accurate information.
Sadly, Italy has had more than 4,000 deaths.
Heh, I should follow my own advice.
Do the math, say 1% (low side) death rate, half the population contracts COVID-19 (with/without symptoms) population 330 million = 1.65 million deaths in 1-2 years. Death rate rate with an overloaded medical system could go much, much higher. If the economy is then prioritized over quarantines … you get the picture.
It also matters where you are, in terms of perception of risk. I did the same calculation on NYC, 8M people * 40% infection rate = 3.2M, and a low 1% death rate is 32,000 people. In likelihood, NYC would have higher numbers for infection (density) and death (higher percentage of elderly, overwhelmed system). It might not be the same somewhere else, but here it would be an obvious and immediate travesty.
Alternatively, would we risk having out elders die because we were careless, let alone ourselves? They matter a lot more to us than money. It is tougher for others, as we are fairly comfortable, my spouse is retired, and I can work from home all the time. In NYC, the people that are hurt are the ones least able to afford it, but in other countries the government has supported them, as opposed to primarily helping corporations. What do we value, human welfare or work?
At some point the carnage will become too great, either death toll or rationed medical care. Then another attempt will be made at control, but the problem will be exponentially greater. My guess is 10-20,000 deaths (if spread nation-wide) and counting would reverse course to prioritize disease control. By then the pandemic has grown exponentially.
@Jimi63 It’s good to see you, Jim! I hope you’re doing well?
I thought about lesser restrictions, but then realize that could only make sense if we were like South Korea and aggressively ramped up to deal with this:
But, even then…
There is, however, a widespread consensus among economists and public health experts that lifting the restrictions would impose huge costs in additional lives lost to the virus — and deliver little lasting benefit to the economy.
“It’s useful to adopt the cost-benefit frame, but the moment you do that, the outcomes are so overwhelming that you don’t need to fill in the details to know what to do,” said Justin Wolfers, an economist at the University of Michigan.
The only case in which the benefits of lifting restrictions outweigh the costs in lost lives, Mr. Wolfers said, would be if “the epidemiologists are lying to us about people dying.”
I think we already make these decisions everyday. If we didn’t set an acceptable cost in human life we would never allow cars, airplanes, skydiving, watersports, rock climbing and a multitude of other risky activities. We would never allow anyone ever to leave their house due to the regular flu or a host of other nasty viruses and microbes.
Sooner or later this discussion has to be had, I don’t believe the time has come yet, right now the cost we are incurring are seen as temporary and worth it. There is time to talk later when the new normal is realized.