I agree with @JamesIgoe:
I believe that the chances that “timing” has been delayed just because of the election are as close to 0.0% as one can possibly imagine.
I spent 40+ years (1972-2015) in the world of R&D … as an engineer, not a vaccine researcher. I never worked on ANYTHING remotely as important as the development of a COVID-19 vaccine and I never worked on anything that required human trails. However, I do know a a bit about life in the world of research and development.
I am confident that the folks doing the primary development have been working 20-hour days likely since last December. While I don’t know the names of the lead individuals, I expect that their names will be soon as well known as Banting, Best, Salk, and Sabin. In addition to the leads, there are huge teams of people supporting that effort who have been working equally hard.
When the various vaccine candidates entered phase 1, 1/2, 2, 2/3, and especially phase 3 trials months ago, it was virtually certain that there was zero chance of an announcement before Election Day. Recruit an appropriate cadre of volunteers, give each two shots three weeks apart, look for side effects, wait for an appropriate number of folks to get sick, look at the data … and we don’t even have full data, only a press release. We are still awaiting more complete data, emergency use application, compassionate care application, and, ultimately, full FDA approval. In many respects we have only gotten this far, this fast because of near miracles on the part of the scientific community and the fact that Covid-19 is so poorly controlled in this country that lots of test subjects got sick shortly after receiving the vaccine/placebo. Were this New Zealand or Australia, for example, we’d still have a long wait ahead.
I am confident that the magicians at Corning Glass have been working long hours to ramp up production of the special low-boron glass that is used in the vials that can withstand the -90 C freezing and ultimate re-heating without shattering.
I’m equally certain that Thermo-Scientific and other companies that make ultra-low temperature freezers are doing everything in their power to produce enough freezers in a timely manner to allow for timely distribution and storage of the frozen vials.
In short, I genuinely believe that the folks that are actually working on the critical elements required to get a vaccine produced and distributed as quickly as possible understand that thus is the greatest health crisis in a century … and they are doing everything possible to shave every day they can off the time to widespread delivery of a successful vaccine. Politics and introducing intentional delays is the FURTHEST thing from their mind.
I will certainly be in the queue when my number is called. However as a reasonably healthy 70 year old T1D who does NOT live in a congregate setting, I have no reason to believe that my “take a number and be seated” number will be less than 100 million in this country or less than one billion world wide. So, I’m confident that details of efficacy and/or side effects will be well understood long before anyone asks me to roll up my sleeve.
At least that is the way that I see things.
Stay safe!
John